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	<title>Your Certified Mortgage Planner -- Michael Eiden, Mortgage Blogger &#187; Existing Home Sales</title>
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		<title>Common Pricing Blunders and How to Avoid Them</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/07/common-pricing-blunders-and-how-to-avoid-them.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/07/common-pricing-blunders-and-how-to-avoid-them.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 16:54:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Price Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pending Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/?p=1231</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No one wants to undervalue their property, but overpricing a home can be equally self-defeating.  As many FSBO (for sale by owner) sellers have discovered the hard way, working with an experienced  real estate pro would have been the best way to avoid this predicament.  Just be sure you don&#8217;t make these common pricing blunders [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Blunder" src="http://www.seocopywriting.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/02/dreamstime_2985805-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" />No one wants to undervalue their property, but overpricing a home can be equally self-defeating.  As many FSBO (for sale by owner) sellers have discovered the hard way, working with an experienced  real estate pro would have been the best way to avoid this predicament.  Just be sure you don&#8217;t make these common pricing blunders offered by HGTV&#8217;s FrontDoor.com:</p>
<p><strong>Ignore your listing agent&#8217;s advice by &#8220;testing the market&#8221; with a too-high asking price.</strong> Home almost always sell faster and for more money if they&#8217;re correctly from the outset.</p>
<p><strong>Let your emotional investment in the home dictate a pricing strategy. </strong> Instead, stay objective by focusing on data contained in your agent&#8217;s comparative market analysis.</p>
<p><strong>Try to &#8220;recoup&#8221; the agent&#8217;s commission by overpricing property. </strong> Like testing the market with an inflated value, this approach usually forces a seller to slash the price after the home sits on the market too long.</p>
<p><strong>Chase the market with stingy price cuts.</strong> If you&#8217;ve priced your home fairly and still haven&#8217;t gotten any offers, don&#8217;t hesitate to lower the price.  But make it worthwhile.  Small reductions simply keep your home &#8220;stuck&#8221; behind more competitively priced properties.</p>
<p>Hope this sheds some light for you on pricing blunders and how to avoid them.  I also have a free report titled &#8220;<a href="http://www.box.net/shared/nykam27ape" target="_blank">10 Steps To Sell Your Home in a Slow Market</a>&#8221; you can have just by clicking the title. Happy selling!</p>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Down in January but Higher than a Year Ago</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/03/existing-home-sales-down-in-january-but-higher-than-a-year-ago.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/03/existing-home-sales-down-in-january-but-higher-than-a-year-ago.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Mar 2010 15:58:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Price Index]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/?p=1042</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Existing-home sales fell in January but are above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors® Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – dropped 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate  of 5.05 million units in January from a revised 5.44 million in December, but remain 11.5 percent above the 4.53 [...]]]></description>
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<p>Existing-home sales fell in January but are above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®</p>
<p><a href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/RO-Content/ro/research/research/ehsdata">Existing-home sales</a> – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – dropped 7.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate  of 5.05 million units in January from a revised 5.44 million in December, but remain 11.5 percent above the 4.53 million-unit level in January 2009.</p>
<p>In looking at the annualized, adjusted Existing Home Sales data, we find:<a href="http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/existing-home-sales-201001.png"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-1044" title="Existing Home Sales" src="http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/existing-home-sales-201001.png" alt="" width="216" height="302" /></a></p>
<ol>
<li>Sales volume is at its lowest levels since June 2009</li>
<li>Sales volume fell below its 12-month rolling average</li>
<li>Home supplies are at a 5-month high</li>
</ol>
<p>I wouldn&#8217;t read too much into these number though. The market is cyclical and the weather this winter definitely impeded activity. Plus, we are still adjusting from last November&#8217;s flurry of activity after the first First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit. By the way, the extension of the credit is running out soon, make sure you are in contract to buy by April 30th of this year and complete the transaction by June 30th of this year to qualify.</p>
<p>It would appear that we are set for a good February and March and numbers are in line with expectations. The Good news from all this is buyers are finding better deals and sellers are more willing to negotiate!</p>
<p>As always of if need some help getting financing together for you next home purchase or refinance, give me a call or shoot me an <a href="mailto:meiden@mtgxps.com">email</a>.</p>
<p>Enjoy your day!</p>
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		<title>Home Sales Have Dropped 7.2% for January 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/home-sales-have-dropped-7-2-for-january-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/home-sales-have-dropped-7-2-for-january-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2010 18:07:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/?p=1025</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home sales drop 7.2% According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing-home sales fell in January but are above year-ago levels.  Economists polled by Thomson Reuters had forecast that completed sales last month rose almost 1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.5 million, up from 5.45 million in December. Existing-home sales – [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Home sales drop 7.2%</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter" title="Sold Sign" src="http://www.wsjprimerate.us/wsjprimerate/uploaded_images/housing-3-719181.jpg" alt="" width="504" height="339" /></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing-home sales fell in January but are above year-ago levels.  Economists polled by Thomson Reuters had forecast that completed sales last month rose almost 1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.5 million, up from 5.45 million in December.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Existing-home sales – including<img class="alignright" title="January Slump" src="http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/.a/6a00d8341c630a53ef0120a8d895b0970b-200wi" alt="" width="200" height="441" /> single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – dropped 7.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 5.05 million units in January from a revised 5.44 million in December, but remain 11.5% above the 4.53 million-unit level in January 2009.  Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 0.5% to 3.27 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 7.2-month supply in December. Raw unsold inventory is 9.6% below a year ago, and is at the lowest level since March 2006.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $164,700 in January, unchange  d from a year earlier. Distressed homes, which accounted for 38% of sales last month, continue to downwardly distort the median price because they typically are discounted in comparison with traditional homes in the same area.  A parallel NAR practitioner survey4 shows first-time buyers purchased 40% of homes in January, down from 43% in December.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Investors accounted for 17% of transactions in January, up from 15% in December; the remaining sales were to repeat buyers. The survey also shows that buyer traffic increased 9.4% in January.</p>
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		<title>What&#8217;s Ahead for Mortgage Rates February, 22 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-february-22-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-february-22-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Feb 2010 14:58:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weekly Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/?p=1000</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Note the Red columns for 2009. In December 2009, a record low 23 thousand new homes were sold (NSA); this ties the previous record low set in December 1966.  Sales in December 2008 were at 26 thousand. Last Week; interest rates spiked on continued better economic data and an increase in the producer price index. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/S2BWYGVaodI/AAAAAAAAHWk/yJuEzXIQ-oY/s320/NHSDecNSA.jpg"><img title="Dec 2009 Home Sales" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_pMscxxELHEg/S2BWYGVaodI/AAAAAAAAHWk/yJuEzXIQ-oY/s320/NHSDecNSA.jpg" alt="" width="320" height="238" /></a>Note the Red columns for 2009. In December 2009, a record low 23 thousand new homes were sold (NSA); this ties the previous record low set in December 1966.  Sales in December 2008 were at 26 thousand.</p>
<p>Last Week; interest rates spiked on continued better economic data and an increase in the producer price index. Therewere four data points on the manufacturing and business sectors, all of which were improvements from Dec. The NYEmpire State manufacturing index jumped, the Philadelphia Fed business index also stronger. Jan industrial productionup 0.9% and Jan factory usage at 72.6%, the best since Dec 2008; within the factory use data the manufacturingpercentage increased to 69.2% up from 68.4% in Dec. While we continue to believe inflation will not be a serious factorfor the rest of the year, the January producer price index surprised with a gain of 1.4% double what analysts wereexpecting. As noted many times here, although the immediate outlook on inflation is subdued, anytime an inflationreading is stronger than markets expect it sends chills through the spines of fixed income investors and traders. Not allthe selling in the bond market was attributable to better economic data; after months of preparing the bond market for theend of monetary easing, the Fed increased the discount rate to 0.75% frm 0.50%. It in itself is not going to increaselending rates, but it once and for all signals the Fed is finished supporting banks and other recipients of governmentlargesse.</p>
<p>This Week; Treasury will be back to the table to borrow another $118B of notes; $44B of 2s, $42B of 5s, and $32B of 7yr notes. On top of that Treasury will auction $8B of 30 yr inflation indexed bonds on Monday. Jan housing statistics thisweek with new and existing home sales, both expected to have increased from Dec. The Dec Case/Shiller home priceindex also out, it attracts attention from a wider national perspective but home price levels are indigenous to each marketarea so other than a indication it has little relevance unless you live in one of the 20 large market areas it specificallydetails. And there is more; two consumer sentiment indexes (the Conference Board&#8217;s consumer confidence index and theU. of Michigan consumer sentiment index). Rounding out the week, the Feb Chicago purchasing mgrs index and thesecond look at Q4 GDP, the preliminary read is expected to be unchanged at +5.7%. Interest rates are headed higher, ina choppy pattern but up. The path won&#8217;t be straight up and we do not expect rates to increase more than another 50basis points for mortgages or the 10 yr note through the rest of the year. As for any potential for a sizeable decline inrates; it will take a solid break in the equity markets which at this point doesn&#8217;t seem likely.</p>
<p>Summary: This week, there&#8217;s a lot of economic data set for release.</p>
<ul>
<li>Tuesday : Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Consumer Confidence</li>
<li>Wednesday : New Home Sales</li>
<li>Thursday : FHFA Home Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims</li>
<li>Friday : Existing Home Sales, Personal Consumption Expenditures</li>
</ul>
<p>Any better than expected news on any of headlines above will be bad news for mortgage rates. If you were waiting for the right time to lock, it might have been 2 weeks ago.  We lost all of January&#8217;s gains.  If you are in the market for a home loan, consider locking in to protect against futher deterioration.  Need help, give me a call or <a href="mailto:meiden@mtgxps.com" target="_blank">email</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Pending Home Sales Predicts A Stronger Spring Market</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/pending-home-sales-predicts-a-stronger-spring-market.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/pending-home-sales-predicts-a-stronger-spring-market.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2010 13:48:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pending Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/02/pending-home-sales-predicts-a-stronger-spring-market.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A Pending Home Sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but not yet sold. It's a figure compiled by an industry group using sales data from over 100 regional listing services and more than 60 large brokerages around the country.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Michael Eiden, CMPS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Pending Home Sales (June 2008-Dec 2009)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/pending-home-sales-200912.png" alt="Pending Home Sales (June 2008-Dec 2009)" width="216" height="302" />The Pending Home Sales Index rose slightly in December, <a title="Pending Home Sales December 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/02/stabilize_remain" target="_blank">climbing 1 percent from November</a>.</p>
<p>A Pending Home Sale is a home that is under contract to sell, but not yet sold. It&#8217;s a figure compiled by the National Association of Realtors&reg; using sales data from over 100 regional listing services and more than 60 large brokerages around the country.</p>
<p>Because each pending sale is a true measure of sales activity, the Pending Home Sales Index is purported to be the most reliable forward-looking indicator for housing.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Recent data supports this hypothesis.</p>
<p>After Pending Home Sales plunged 16 percent in November, <em>Existing</em> Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales Data December 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2009/12/another_respond" target="_blank">fell by 17 percent</a> in December.&nbsp; Based on the most recent Pending Sales Index, therefore, we can expect January&#8217;s closed sales to be similarly level.</p>
<p>For home buyers , this is all a bit of good news. Home prices are based on the supply-and-demand balance that exists between buyers and sellers.&nbsp; When buyers outnumber sellers, like they did through most of 2009, home supplies dip and, in fact, the national home inventory nearly halved during the 12 months ending November 2009.</p>
<p>With fewer homes for sale, multiple-offer situations were almost commonplace and home values rose as result.</p>
<p>Activity has since slowed, however, and fewer buyers are in today&#8217;s market. The supply-and-demand equation has shifted back some. In December, home supplies rose for the first time in 7 months and January will likely show the same.</p>
<p>The net result: Home buyers have more homes from which to choose and that can create negotiation leverage for better prices and better concessions.</p>
<p>With mortgage rates still low and a looming deadline on the homebuyer&#8217;s tax credit, market activity should be strong between now and April.&nbsp;&nbsp; Take your time and bid right. And when you&#8217;re ready, be ready. The best deals likely won&#8217;t last.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Existing Home Sales Plummet In December, But It Was Expected</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 13:48:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pending Home Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/existing-home-sales-plummet-in-december-but-it-was-expected.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December's Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low. Don't be alarmed, though. It was expected.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Michael Eiden, CMPS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="border: 0pt none; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-vol-200912.png" alt="Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009" width="216" height="302" />Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t be alarmed, though. The plunge was expected. And not just because <a title="Pending Home Sales November 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/01/pending_surge" target="_blank">Pending Home Sales cratered</a> last month.</p>
<p>When November&#8217;s Existing Home Sales surged, it was clear to observers that an expiring $8,000 federal tax credit was the catalyst. At the time, the tax program was slated to expire November 30 and the looming deadline pushed a lot of would-be buyers in Beaverton from a December time frame into November.</p>
<p>The expiration date has a cannibalizing effect on December&#8217;s sales figures. It was only later that Congress extended the tax credit to June 30, 2010.</p>
<p>So, with home sales plunging in December, it&#8217;s no surprise that home supplies rose for the first time in 9 months.&nbsp; Home Supply is calculating by dividing the number of homes for sale by the current sales pace.</p>
<p>The national housing supply now <a title="Existing Home Sales Data December 2009" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/01/december_down" target="_blank">rests at 7.2 months</a>.</p>
<p>Despite December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales report appearing shaky, it&#8217;s actually terrific new for home buyers.</p>
<p>See, for the past few months, as housing has been improving, sellers nationwide have been bombarded by messages of &#8220;hot markets&#8221; and rising home prices by the media.&nbsp; Psychologically, a seller is more likely to hold firm on price if he believes the housing market is improving and now December&#8217;s data is deflating that argument.</p>
<p>This is why we say there&#8217;s always two sides to a housing story &#8212; the buyers&#8217; side and the sellers&#8217; side. And, usually, what&#8217;s good for one party is bad for the other. It&#8217;s what we&#8217;re seeing now.</p>
<p>Because of soft data like December&#8217;s Existing Home Sales, buyers may retake some negotiation leverage that&#8217;s been lost since Spring 2009, helping to improve home affordability and, perhaps, spur more sales.</p>
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		<title>What&#8217;s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : January 25, 2010</title>
		<link>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-this-week-january-25-2010.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/whats-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-this-week-january-25-2010.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 13:47:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Weekly Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case-Shiller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FOMC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.michaelsmortgageblog.com/2010/01/whata%c2%80%c2%99s-ahead-for-mortgage-rates-this-week-january-25-2010.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since shedding 300 basis points in December, mortgage bond pricing has recovered a bit more than half of those losses.  It's helping with home affordability and opening new refinance opportunities around the country. This week, though, mortgage rates could rise back up.  There's a lot going on.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to Michael Eiden, CMPS and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.--></p>
<p><img style="border: 1px solid black; float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="The FOMC meets this week -- mortgage rates will be volatile" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/fed-meets-this-week.jpg" alt="The FOMC meets this week -- mortgage rates will be volatile" width="220" height="160" />Conforming and FHA mortgage rates improved last week on the combination of weaker-than-expected economic data and new anti-banking rhetoric from the White House.</p>
<p>The S&amp;P 500 shed nearly 4 percent in its worst weekly showing since October 2009 as all 10 sectors fell. As the money left stock markets, it made its way to bonds &#8212; including the mortgage-backed variety.</p>
<p>As a result, Oregon mortgage rates fell for the third straight week.</p>
<p>Since shedding 300 basis points in December, mortgage bond pricing has recovered a bit more than half of those losses.  It&#8217;s helping with home affordability and opening new refinance opportunities in Vancourver and around the country.</p>
<p>This week, though, mortgage rates could rise back up.  There&#8217;s a lot going on.</p>
<p>First, on Monday, the December Existing Homes Sales report will be released.  The report is expected to be extremely weak as compared to November.  This is because of a combination of factors including:</p>
<ol>
<li>The initial tax credit expiration date of November 30, 2009</li>
<li>Sharply rising mortgage rates throughout the month of December</li>
<li>A general slowdown from the holidays and from the weather</li>
</ol>
<p>Therefore, don&#8217;t be surprised by the newspaper headlines you see Tuesday morning.</p>
<p>Other data this week includes <a title="Case-Shiller Index on Wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case-Shiller_index" target="_blank">the Case-Shiller Index </a>&#8211; a measure of home prices nationwide &#8212; and the New Home Sales report. The Case-Shiller Index has registered mild home price improvement over the past 8 months and its latest report is expected to show the same.  New Home Sales should be similarly strong.</p>
<p>But, the biggest news of the week is the <a title="FOMC meeting calendar" href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm#6274" target="_blank">first Federal Open Market Committee meeting</a> of 2010.</p>
<p>The Fed meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week and Wall Street will be watching closely.  The Fed is not expected to change the Fed Funds Rate from its current target range of 0.000-0.250 percent, so, instead, markets will watching for the Fed&#8217;s post-meeting press release.</p>
<p>What the Fed <em>says </em>about the economy will be much more important that what it specifically <em>does </em>about the economy for now.  If the Fed says the economy is growing as expected, look for mortgage rates to rise. Conversely, if the Fed says the economy is at risk, expect mortgage rates to fall.</p>
<p>The safest rate lock strategy this week is to lock your mortgage rate before the Fed&#8217;s 2:15 PM ET adjournment Wednesday.  Rates will be bouncy all week, but once the Fed&#8217;s press release hits the wires, it&#8217;s anyone&#8217;s guess what will happen.</p>
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