Excerpts from the article:

By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Now is literally the best time in recorded history to buy a house in America…

Right now – today – U.S. real estate is the most affordable it’s ever been. Ever.

When I say “affordable,” I’m looking at three things: house prices, mortgage rates, and incomes. With the Affordability Index near 200, the median family has 200% of the income necessary to buy the median home (or more specifically, to qualify for a conventional loan on the median home).

Right now, as you know, house prices are sitting near new lows for this cycle, down by roughly one-third (depending on who’s counting). And right now, mortgage rates – after ticking above 5% earlier this year – are all the way down to 4.5% again, near all-time lows.

So it’s simple: With the worst house-price crash in American history, combined with the lowest mortgage rates in history, you can now afford more home than ever. Meanwhile, hope is gone. Everyone thinks housing is hopeless. That is when a bear market ends and a new bull market begins.

At a conference I attended last month, some speakers spoke woefully of the large supply of houses for sale. That will take care of itself in time. Others bemoaned the certainty of higher interest rates in the future, which would hurt housing. But they shouldn’t be so certain…

Twenty years ago, Japan faced a housing bust similar to ours. Japan’s government has cut interest rates to near zero and printed money. And long-term interest rates in Japan currently sit around 1%. Even rising interest rates won’t kill housing… In the 1970s, interest rates were rising, and house prices outperformed stock prices.

The story is simple: House prices have fallen more than ever… And mortgage rates are lower than ever. If you can buy a house now (and want one), go for it.

Now is the best time in American history to do it.

Good investing,

Steve
http://www.dailywealth.com

One side effect of that policy had been to stifle purchase-and-renovate projects by legitimate, small-scale investors who buy houses after foreclosure or loan defaults and then resell them in substantially improved condition. In many parts of the country, first-time and moderate-income buyers often sought to buy these fixed-up houses using FHA-insured mortgages with 3.5% down payments, but were prevented from doing so by the “anti-flipping” rule.

This left large numbers of foreclosed, vacant houses sitting unsold and deteriorating, with negative effects on the values of neighboring properties.

Last January, FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens announced a one-year suspension of that rule, permitting qualified buyers to obtain FHA mortgages on properties that were acquired by rehabbers less than 90 days before. The plan, set to expire at the end of this month, came with safeguards for purchasers, including inspections and multiple appraisals in some cases to document the amounts spent by investors on the improvements.

Vicki Bott, deputy assistant secretary for single-family housing at the FHA, confirmed in an interview that the agency expects to continue the policy for another year. Not only have first-time buyers responded overwhelmingly to the opportunity to buy “turnkey” renovated homes with low down payments, she said, but they have performed well on their mortgage obligations.

“Obviously we have concerns about flipping in general,” Bott said, but the FHA has seen none of the fraud problems, defaults and re-foreclosures that cost the agency millions in insurance payouts in earlier years.

Investor Paul Wylie, who with a group of partners and contractors specializes in acquiring, renovating and reselling foreclosed and distressed houses in the Los Angeles area, says the government’s policy “has been a very positive approach” because “it recognizes the role that [private investors] can play in helping the housing market get back on its feet.”

In the L.A. market, Wylie said, FHA financing accounts for 40% of all home purchases and 60% of purchases in predominantly Latino and African American communities.

Buying foreclosed houses “comes with a lot of risk factors,” Wylie said. “There’s no title insurance. We don’t have a good idea of the extent of the defects” inside properties that have been sitting vacant or vandalized for months. Some houses come with delinquent property taxes, which Wylie’s group typically must pay.

Then again, the profit opportunities can be significant as well. Most of the Wylie group’s houses sell for more than 20% higher prices than Wylie paid at acquisition — a quick turnaround gain that potentially works for buyers, sellers, neighborhoods and, yes, the FHA itself.

Source:  www.latimes.com

What is the Mortgage Payment Assistance Program (MPA)?
Mortgage Payment Assistance is the first OHSI program. It will help at least 5,000 Oregon homeowners pay their mortgages for up to one year, or offer $20,000, whichever comes first. It is the largest of OHSI’s programs, funded at $100,000,000.

How can I apply for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
The application for Mortgage Payment Assistance will be available on December 10, 2010 at www.oregonhomeownerhelp.org. Further details about the application process will be available in December.

How long do I have to apply?
Beginning December 10, 2010, homeowners will have one month to apply for the MPA program.

Will homeowners who receive Mortgage Payment Assistance have to pay it back?
It depends. Mortgage Payment Assistance payments will be five-year, forgivable, interest free, non-recourse loans. OHSI will defer all payments and forgive 20 percent of the balance each year.

If a homeowner who gets Mortgage Payment Assistance sells their home or refinances the home within five years, the homeowner may have to repay some of the assistance.

Will every struggling homeowner in Oregon get help from OHSI?
No. There are tens of thousands of homeowners who need help in Oregon. The program cannot serve everyone who needs help.

How will the state choose who gets help paying their mortgages?
Oregon’s housing crisis is hurting thousands of homeowners. Oregon has enough money to help about 5,000 homeowners through its MPA program. That means many more homeowners need help with their mortgages than the program can serve.

The state will conduct a random drawing to choose who will get help. The program is not first come, first serve. The state will accept applications over several weeks so all eligible homeowners have a chance. All eligible applications will be in the drawing.

How do I know if I’m eligible for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
You can take a simple test to find out if you may be eligible on www.oregonhomeownerhelp.org.

I am delinquent on my mortgage. Am I still eligible for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
Yes.

I am not behind on my mortgage. Am I still eligible for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
Yes.

Are small business owners eligible for this program?
Yes.

Do I have to be unemployed to be eligible for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
No.

What about the other OHSI programs?
Other OHSI programs will launch early next year. Details about the application process and eligibility will appear on this site soon.

What can I do right now to apply for Mortgage Payment Assistance?
The application will be available on December 10, 2010. Visit www.oregonhomeownerhelp.org to learn more and to sign up for updates.

Mortgage Payment Program Eligibility Criteria

Qualifications

• The household’s income cannot be equal to or more than 120 percent of state median income (see chart at bottom of page for details). A homeowner who has an Oregon bond loan meets this test.
• The homeowner’s current first mortgage must date before January 1, 2009.
  The homeowner must have a verifiable loss in income of 25 percent or more (due to unemployment or underemployment).
• The homeowner cannot have more than four months of mortgage payments available as liquid assets. (Retirement and education savings accounts are OK).
• The homeowner must complete and sign a Financial Hardship Affidavit.

• The homeowner, in connection with a mortgage or real estate transaction, cannot have been convicted, within the last 10 years, of any one of the following: (A) felony larceny, theft, fraud or forgery, (B) money laundering or (C) tax evasion.

Property

• The subject property must be an owner-occupied, primary residence and be located in Oregon. Manufactured homes are eligible only if the structure is recorded in the county’s deed records. *Note: Condominiums and Town homes are NOT considered single-family, 1-unit, detached homes.

• No more than two years’ property tax may be unpaid on the subject property.

Exclusions

• The homeowner’s unpaid mortgage balance cannot exceed $729,750.
• Homeowners who have received notification of trustee/sheriff sale before February 1, 2010 are ineligible for the MPA program.
•  Homeowners who own other residential real property are ineligible for the MPA program.
• Homeowners who are currently in active bankruptcy are ineligible for the MPA program.
• Any homeowner who knowingly submits more than one application for the MPA program

Certain state laws provide for a “redemption period” after a foreclosure or tax sale has occurred, during which time the prior owner may reclaim the property upon payment of all amounts owed. Unexpired redemption periods create an unacceptable title defect on the subject property, and do not conform to the existing policy that requires the property to have “good and marketable” title. As such, Fannie Mae is clarifying the Selling Guide to state that properties with unexpired redemption periods have unacceptable title defects. Therefore, these mortgage loans are not eligible for delivery to Fannie Mae until after the expiration of the redemption period. The purchase of additional insurance, a redemption bond or similar coverage during the redemption period does not remedy the title defect and the mortgage loan remains ineligible for delivery to Fannie Mae.

Good Luck! And happy hunting for those foreclosures!

By Mary Kane 12/10/09 1:54 PM

Julio Angulo was evicted from his Virginia home last December. (American News Project)

It was last December when Julio Angulo ignored the bitter cold and sat on a rusted patio chair in the front yard of his foreclosed home in suburban Manassas, Va. He sighed, resting his hand on his knee. He stared despondently at the sky. His lender had foreclosed on his house in July. He had just been evicted.

Angulo, then 55 years old, had nowhere to go. His wife and two children already had returned to El Salvador. He had refused during the summer to accept a cash-for-keys transaction, in which he could turn the house over to the lender in exchange for a cash payment. Instead, he remained, alone, in the three bedroom townhouse, in a modest working-class neighborhood called Georgetown South, until a Prince William County Sheriff’s Deputy knocked on the door on Dec. 1, 2008 for the foreclosure eviction.

A house painter, Angulo couldn’t afford the market rents of $1,500 a month for apartments elsewhere in the neighborhood. Most of Prince William County’s shelters also were full that day.

A year later, Angulo is gone. A legal resident of the United States, he joined his family in his native El Salvador, to let a knee injury heal, and to recover from his lost dream of owning a home. With nowhere to go immediately after the eviction, he luckily ran into a neighbor that night who offered to rent him a room for two weeks. He went to a public health clinic, to see a doctor about the arthritis in his injured knee. Then he left for El Salvador.

The house he paid $280,000 for in July of 2005 sold for $69,900 on March 16, 2009, according to local real estate agent Keith Elliott Jr. Real estate investors bought it.

And a year later, the hopes of those who thought the government could come up with a plan to stop foreclosures and help keep people like Angulo in their houses seem in tatters as well.  The Obama administration’s signature effort remains its $75 billion Making Home Affordable program, which was set up to aid as many as 4 million homeowners. But Making Home Affordable has in most ways been a crushing disappointment, housing advocates say.

At the beginning of this year lenders on their own were doing far more permanent loan modifications than the government has been able to accomplish since rolling out its program in April, noted Diane Thompson, an attorney with the National Consumer Law Center. Private lenders were completing 120,000 permanent loan modifications per month during the first quarter of this year. Under the Obama administration’s initiative, some 650,000 homeowners have entered into trial loan modifications, but only about 10,000 permanent loan modifications had been completed by the end of October, a Congressional oversight panel reported on Wednesday. Treasury Department figures released Thursday showed that only 31,382 permanent loan modifications had been completed under the government program as of Nov. 30.

Making Home Affordable’s loan modification effort is known as HAMP, or the Home Affordable Modification Program. The small number of permanent loan modifications so far is due in part to a new program getting established, and to the fact that borrowers in the government program have to complete three-month temporary trial loan modifications first, in order to qualify for permanent ones. Getting the permanent trial modification isn’t automatic — trial program borrowers must submit paperwork documenting their incomes to convert to permanent loan modifications, and they must make three months of payments under their trial agreements.

Treasury expects some 375,000 trial modifications to be finished by the end of this year, but it’s not clear how many will become permanent. Updated numbers are expected this week. But none of this fully explains the glaring lack of progress so far, Thompson said.

“We’re more than nine months into the program, and trial modifications account for only about 11 percent of all the seriously delinquent loans, and permanent modifications aren’t even on the radar screen,” Thompson said. “The HAMP servicer participation agreements do not provide for any penalties, other than termination from the program, for the failure to make modifications.  Until those agreements are revised, the administration has little recourse other than public shame to compel servicers to make loan modifications. Meanwhile, the number of homes seriously delinquent and in foreclosure continues to rise every quarter.”

This is hardly what Thompson expected, just a year ago.

“It’s been very distressing,” she said.

In testimony submitted to the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday, officials from JP Morgan Chase reported that of every 100 homeowners who sought to have their loans reworked under the government’s program, just 15 have or will end up with, a permanent loan modification.

Thompson and others who follow loan modifications said they were aware from the beginning that the government program couldn’t prevent all foreclosures, especially as job losses mounted and even prime borrowers fell behind on their payments. Experts also knew there would be some slowdown under the administration’s new program, as servicers worked to convert temporary loan modifications into permanent ones.

Servicers and borrowers are pointing the finger at each other over the lack of more permanent loan modifications. Servicers contend borrowers aren’t coming up with the necessary paperwork, such as documenting their incomes, that is required for permanent loan modifications. But housing counselors say just the opposite — that borrowers supply servicers with pay stubs and other paperwork, only to have their servicers lose them, or sit on them so long they aren’t current.

Thompson said there are even bigger problems with the program that leave her feeling very differently about the effort today, compared to her optimism when it was first announced.

“I don’t yet see any of the work on HAMP by the administration addressing the core problems in the program–a lack of accountability and transparency–so I am not optimistic, although I do believe that some of the incremental changes to the program are helpful and may help tens of thousands of people,” she said. “The problem is that we need to help millions, not tens of thousands.”

Alan White, a Valparaiso University law professor who studies loan modifications, was even more blunt:

“If we don’t see more permanent mods soon,” he said, “it will look like the HAMP program is a failure. We’ve seen a net reduction in permanent loan modifications. That’s not good.”

The failure to get more permanent loan modifications done “should be considered a breach of contract” by servicers and lenders that have accepted taxpayer bailout money and are eligible for financial incentives from the government for reworking loans, White said.

He and others never expected things to end up like this. In November 2008, mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced a foreclosure moratorium for the holidays, beginning in Thanksgiving, to allow the government to work out the details of streamlined loan modification efforts. Hopes were high that many borrowers would stay in their homes.

In Angulo’s case, the help was too late. He was evicted regardless, because the policy applied only to new foreclosures, not those already in the pipeline.
Fannie Mae announced last month a new policy to allow qualified owners facing foreclosure to rent back their homes for as long as a year. But Angulo most likely would not have qualified for that help, either, had it been available a year ago, since he couldn’t afford market rents in the area, a requirement of the program.

Angulo had covered his mortgage by renting out some of the bedrooms. In the spring of 2008, his renters left and the monthly payment on his adjustable rate mortgage also jumped from $1,400 to $2,600. As a house painter, he earned $500 a week.

Angulo said at the time that he tried to contact his lender, Aurora Loan Services, a subsidiary of Lehman Bros. that specialized in Alt-A and interest-only loans. But the servicer wouldn’t help him, he said.

Since his eviction, his old neighborhood isn’t the only location were housing values have fallen. In November, Zillow, an online real estate service, reported that year over year housing values nationwide had declined for the 11th consecutive quarter.

In Georgetown South, since last December, the highest priced home that has been sold went for $120,000, and it most likely resulted from an investor flip, Elliott said. In Prince William County overall, the first-time homebuyer tax credit helped boost sales of bank-owned foreclosed properties – but that doesn’t mean the local housing market has recovered, he said.

“Banks are probably planning on trickling out these additional foreclosures slowly while the market continues to improve,” he said. “How big is the shadow market? Honestly, I think it’s anybody’s guess. The banks could be sitting on a whole bunch just waiting to trickle them out a few at a time.”

As neighborhoods like Georgetown South continue to absorb the effects of a collapsed housing market, NCLC’s Thompson noted that growing foreclosures are spreading damage throughout the economy, hurting neighborhood property values, and cutting into state and local tax revenues.

That’s why Julio Angulo’s story is much more than just the eviction of another former homeowner on a cold December day, a year ago.

“This isn’t just about homeowners who need help,” Thompson said. “Unless officials take forceful action on foreclosures, things will only get worse. I never thought, at this point, that foreclosures still would not be effectively addressed by the administration. If we don’t get foreclosures under control, and soon, they’re going to drag down the whole economy.”

Angulo, for his part, promised to call if he ever could make his way back to Virginia, to try again to find work, and to buy another home.

He hasn’t been heard from since he left.

This article was to include new Treasury Department loan modification figures released Thursday.

Read Mary Kane’s December 2008 article about Julio Angulo’s eviction here.

The chart above is a graphical representation of the foreclosures that have been filed in our state of Oregon by county.  At first it doesn’t appear all that bad, however this is for just the month of January. Take a look at the chart below and tell my what you see?

From the chart above we can see that Oregon is ranked 9th.  The media would have you believe this problem is a lot more national… from the chart it’s obvious that it’s not. Nevada, Arizona, California and Florida make up a full 50% of the foreclosure data. 40 states are under the average!

So, this makes a unique problem but also creates opportunity.  Foreclosures are selling like mad across the country and right here in Oregon.  Our higher foreclosure rate has let to some unique buying opportunities.  If you want to buy a foreclosure, here are some sites that can get you started.

• HUDForeclosed.com offers free access to homes
• Foreclclosure.com offers free access to homes
• RealTrac offers free access to homes

Once you have found a list of home you like contact your real estate agent.  As a side note, you are going to want a competent agent.  Negotiating these types of purchases  are not normal so you need an agent with the right experience.  If you need help finding someone, I can get you a few referrals.

I am very familiar with Short Sales, REO (bank owned) and Foreclosures and can arrange for mortgage financing if you are not in the fortunate position to pay cash.  My rates are competitive and we can still close fast even with all the new regulations.

Like real estate, it appears that foreclosure activity is a local phenomenon, too.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of all foreclosure-related activity in 2009 came from just 4 states:

1. California
2. Florida
3. Arizona
4. Illinois

More than 1.4 million filings made in 2009 are attributed to the above states. Furthermore, each ranks in the Top 10 for 2009 Foreclosures Per Capita.

The other states are Nevada, Utah, Georgia, Idaho, Michigan and Colorado.

Versus 2008, foreclosures are up 21 percent nationwide and that’s a big number, but a deeper look at RealtyTrac’s annual reports reveals a more positive undertone on the housing market.

1. 40 states fell below the national Foreclosures Per Capita average in 2009
2. Foreclosure activity fell on an annual basis in 10 states as compared to 2008

Foreclosures are still prevalent, though, and buying homes in foreclosure in Beaverton continues to be big business.  First-time buyers, move-up buyers, and real estate investors each are bidding aggressively.

Distressed homes account for one-third of home resale activity, according to an industry trade group.

That said, buying foreclosures can be tricky.

First, properties are often sold “as-is” and the cost of repairs may unwind the home’s status as a “value buy”.  Furthermore, a lender may require specific fixes to be made prior to closing and that, too, costs money.

Second, buying a foreclosed home in Washington isn’t as streamlined as buying a “normal” home. Closing on a foreclosure can be a 120-day process or longer. A 4-month time-frame may not fit your schedule.

And, third, finding foreclosures can be difficult. Despite the growth in foreclosure search engines, it still takes a good real estate agent to uncover the best homes at the best prices.

Read the complete foreclosure report and take a peek at RealtyTrac’s foreclosure heat maps.  If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.

There’s still good deals in the foreclosure market — you just have to know where to find them